A shortfall of around seven billion euros — this is the conclusion reached by the so-called estimators’ circle with regard to the financial situation of the statutory health insurance funds — although the federal government has already promised a lavish subsidy of around 21.5 billion euros from taxpayers’ money. Who will now foot the bill for the pandemic? Will there be hefty premium increases for insureds and employers?
If there is no promise of cost coverage from the federal government by the end of October, the statutory health insurance funds will be planning for significantly higher contributions in 2022. This debate is in danger of being lost in the coalition negotiations.
Meanwhile, Health Minister Jens Spahn is still painting a conciliatory picture — without higher contributions for those with statutory health insurance. The social guarantee with guaranteed social security contributions of less than 40 percent (employer plus employee contributions) is to be retained. At 39.5 percent, there is no room for improvement. However, this also makes it clear that an increase in health insurance contributions can only be avoided if the missing seven billion euros are borne entirely by the federal government. In this case, therefore, all taxpayers would have to step in.
Possible increase in contribution rates from January
This finding does not come as a surprise. The expected gap was already known before the federal election. But increasing contributions is not the way to win votes. Thus, the government still in office could not bring itself to increase the subsidy for the statutory health insurance fund accordingly. If there is no new government in the next two weeks — and if it does not put the issue directly on its agenda — the statutory health insurance funds will have to plan for the aforementioned gap of seven billion euros in the 2022 budget for security reasons alone.
As a result, contribution rates would have to rise for the vast majority of health insurers — and that would already be the case at the turn of the year. This is because health insurers must submit their financial plans for the coming year to their supervisory authority by the end of October, and the authority must approve them. Underfunded budgets, however, cannot be approved. So the approximately 70 million members of the statutory health insurance funds and their employers will have to finance the seven-billion gap through higher contributions.